Selected outcome
Republicans, 12+ pts
last
6%
Republicans, 12+ pts · 6%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Republicans, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$38 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- Republicans, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$16 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- Republicans, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- Republicans, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$53 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- Republicans, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
<1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
last
Ask 6¢
- Republicans, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$73 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 5th District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.