Missouri's 6th District margin of victory

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Missouri's 6th District

Selected outcome

Republicans, 36+ pts

wide spread 6–16%

16%

Republicans, 36+ pts · 16%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source: official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Republicans, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7.5¢
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Republicans, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$50 vol
wide spread 6–16%
Bid 5.8¢ · Ask 16¢
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Republicans, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
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Republicans, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$190 vol
Bid 93.1¢ · Ask 98.7¢
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Republicans, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$214 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 98.5¢
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Republicans, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$324 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 97.2¢
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Republicans, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$518 vol
wide spread 79–90%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.2¢
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Republicans, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$169 vol
Bid 68¢ · Ask 78¢
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Republicans, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$799 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
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Republicans, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
43%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$189 vol
wide spread 34–45%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 45¢
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Republicans, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$446 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
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Republicans, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 6th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 93.7¢ · Ask 99.1¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$0
Volume: ~$2,905
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 4,247 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source: official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 6th District by 36 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Elections

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