Selected outcome
Republicans, 35+ pts
88%
Republicans, 35+ pts · 88%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Republicans, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 8th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.6¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Republicans, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 8th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Republicans, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 8th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$90 vol
Bid 83¢ · Ask 92.5¢
- Republicans, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 8th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$37 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
- Republicans, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 8th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
Bid 58¢ · Ask 64¢
- Republicans, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 8th District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 43–54%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 54¢
- Republicans, 47+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 8th District House election be at least 47 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
- Republicans, 50+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 8th District House election be at least 50 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol
wide spread 13–24%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 24¢
- Republicans, 53+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 8th District House election be at least 53 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$92 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 2.6¢ · Ask 14¢
- Republicans, 56+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 8th District House election be at least 56 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8.8¢
- Republicans, 59+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Missouri's 8th District House election be at least 59 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6.7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 8th District by 35 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.