Selected outcome
Thompson, 30+ pts
45%
Thompson, 30+ pts · 45%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Thompson, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Mississippi's 2nd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
69%
Open · ~$35 24h · ~$749 vol
wide spread 65–76%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 76¢
- Thompson, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Mississippi's 2nd District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 94.1¢
- Thompson, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Mississippi's 2nd District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 86¢
- Thompson, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Mississippi's 2nd District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
75%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 72¢ · Ask 78¢
- Thompson, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Mississippi's 2nd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
59%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$148 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
- Thompson, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Mississippi's 2nd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
45%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 43¢ · Ask 47¢
- Thompson, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Mississippi's 2nd District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 31¢ · Ask 36¢
- Thompson, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Mississippi's 2nd District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 25¢
- Thompson, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Mississippi's 2nd District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 6.3¢ · Ask 14¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Mississippi's 2nd District by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.