Selected outcome
Guest, 23+ pts
wide spread 44–56%
55%
Guest, 23+ pts · 55%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Guest, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 3rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
86%
Open · ~$43 24h · ~$43 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 95.7¢
- Guest, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 3rd District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$33 24h · ~$33 vol
wide spread 54–65%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 65¢
- Guest, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 3rd District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
85%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
wide spread 74–86%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 86¢
- Guest, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 3rd District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 64–76%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 76¢
- Guest, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
55%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Guest, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 3rd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 34–45%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 45¢
- Guest, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 3rd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 24–35%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 35¢
- Guest, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 3rd District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 14–25%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 25¢
- Guest, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 3rd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 4¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Mississippi's 3rd District by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.