Selected outcome
Ezell, 34+ pts
wide spread 53–64%
Ezell, 34+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Ezell, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 4th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
89%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 84¢ · Ask 93.3¢
- Ezell, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 4th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 73–84%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 84¢
- Ezell, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 4th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 63–74%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 74¢
- Ezell, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 4th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 53–64%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 64¢
- Ezell, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 4th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- Ezell, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 4th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 32–44%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 44¢
- Ezell, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 4th District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–34%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 34¢
- Ezell, 46+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 4th District House election be at least 46 percentage points?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢
- Ezell, 49+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Mississippi's 4th District House election be at least 49 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 2.8¢ · Ask 14¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Mississippi's 4th District by 34 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.