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Mississippi Senate margin of victory

Open

On November 3, 2026

Selected outcome

Smith, 9+ pts

37%

Smith, 9+ pts · 37%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Smith, 7+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 7 percentage points?

    50%

    Open · ~$3,157 24h · ~$6,642 vol

    Bid 48¢ · Ask 52¢

    Open full market view →
  • Smith, 9+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 9 percentage points?

    37%

    Open · ~$2,838 24h · ~$4,788 vol

    Bid 34¢ · Ask 39¢

    Open full market view →
  • Smith, 11+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 11 percentage points?

    23%

    Open · ~$985 24h · ~$1,709 vol

    Bid 20¢ · Ask 25¢

    Open full market view →
  • Smith, 13+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 13 percentage points?

    16%

    Open · ~$685 24h · ~$1,149 vol

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 18¢

    Open full market view →
  • Smith, 5+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 5 percentage points?

    68%

    Open · ~$279 24h · ~$4,868 vol

    Bid 65¢ · Ask 71¢

    Open full market view →
  • Smith, 3+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 3 percentage points?

    81%

    Open · ~$152 24h · ~$746 vol

    wide spread 70–82%

    Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢

    Open full market view →
  • Smith, 15+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 15 percentage points?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$33 vol

    wide spread <1–11%

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢

    Open full market view →
  • Smith, 17+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 17 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$133 vol

    Ask 8.3¢

    Open full market view →
  • Smith, 19+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 19 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$19 vol

    Ask 6.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Smith, 21+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 21 percentage points?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol

    last

    Ask 6.3¢

    Open full market view →
  • Smith, 23+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Mississippi be at least 23 percentage points?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol

    last

    Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$8,095
Volume
~$20k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
44k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Mississippi by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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