Selected outcome
Forstag, 9+ pts
Forstag, 9+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Forstag, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
31%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$5 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 36¢
- Forstag, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$239 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 25¢
- Forstag, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$179 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 2.5¢ · Ask 14¢
- Forstag, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$157 vol
Ask 8.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Montana's 1st District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.