Selected outcome
Flint, 6+ pts
wide spread 23–34%
24%
Flint, 6+ pts · 24%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Flint, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$8 24h · ~$159 vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 10¢
- Flint, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$549 vol
wide spread 54–66%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 66¢
- Flint, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$26 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 3.4¢ · Ask 14¢
- Flint, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
42%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,028 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 44¢
- Flint, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$418 vol
wide spread 23–34%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 34¢
- Flint, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$219 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 9.9¢ · Ask 21¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Montana's 1st District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.