Selected outcome
Downing, 22+ pts
wide spread 53–65%
Downing, 22+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Downing, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 2nd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$76 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 95.4¢
- Downing, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 2nd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$689 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 93.9¢
- Downing, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 2nd District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$79 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- Downing, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 2nd District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 53–65%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 65¢
- Downing, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 2nd District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol
wide spread 34–46%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 46¢
- Downing, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 2nd District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- Downing, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 2nd District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$66 vol
wide spread 5–17%
Bid 5.2¢ · Ask 17¢
- Downing, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 2nd District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Downing, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana's 2nd District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$99 vol
last
Ask 7.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Montana's 2nd District by 22 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.