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Montana Senate margin of victory

Open

In 2026

Selected outcome

Alme, 40+ pts

4%

Alme, 40+ pts · 4%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
the Montana Secretary of State (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Alme, 10+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana Senate election be at least 10 percentage points?

    46%

    Open · ~$108 24h · ~$864 vol

    Bid 41¢ · Ask 51¢

    Open full market view →
  • Alme, 15+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana Senate election be at least 15 percentage points?

    23%

    Open · ~$2 24h · ~$352 vol

    Bid 21¢ · Ask 25¢

    Open full market view →
  • Alme, 5+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana Senate election be at least 5 percentage points?

    75%

    Open · ~$1 24h · ~$303 vol

    Bid 70¢ · Ask 80¢

    Open full market view →
  • Alme, 12+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana Senate election be at least 12 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 28–40%

    Bid 28¢ · Ask 40¢

    Open full market view →
  • Alme, 20+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana Senate election be at least 20 percentage points?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol

    Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Alme, 25+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana Senate election be at least 25 percentage points?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 6.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Alme, 30+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana Senate election be at least 30 percentage points?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Alme, 35+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana Senate election be at least 35 percentage points?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Alme, 40+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Montana Senate election be at least 40 percentage points?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$112
Volume
~$1,529
Liquidity
—
Open int.
2,814 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Montana by 40 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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