Selected outcome
Harris, 17+ pts
wide spread 27–38%
Harris, 17+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Harris, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 6–17%
Bid 5.5¢ · Ask 17¢
- Harris, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 6.9¢
- Harris, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$500 vol
Bid 80¢ · Ask 87¢
- Harris, 8+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 8 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,271 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- Harris, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
62%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$880 vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 66¢
- Harris, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
46%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,127 vol
Bid 42¢ · Ask 49¢
- Harris, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$298 vol
wide spread 27–38%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 38¢
- Harris, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$218 vol
Bid 87¢ · Ask 93.4¢
- Harris, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the North Carolina's 8th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$165 vol
wide spread 15–26%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 8th District by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.