Selected outcome
Adams, 41+ pts
96%
Adams, 41+ pts · 96%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Adams, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 12th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93.5¢ · Ask 97.3¢
- Adams, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 12th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 92.6¢ · Ask 99.4¢
- Adams, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 12th District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.3¢ · Ask 99.7¢
- Adams, 47+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 12th District House election be at least 47 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$48 vol
wide spread 87–97%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 97.3¢
- Adams, 50+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 12th District House election be at least 50 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$60 vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 86¢
- Adams, 53+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 12th District House election be at least 53 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
- Adams, 56+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 12th District House election be at least 56 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$74 vol
wide spread 41–53%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 53¢
- Adams, 59+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 12th District House election be at least 59 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–34%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 34¢
- Adams, 62+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the North Carolina's 12th District House election be at least 62 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.8¢ · Ask 18¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 12th District by 41 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.