Selected outcome
Flood, 12+ pts
wide spread 19–31%
Flood, 12+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Flood, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 1st District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 68–80%
Bid 68¢ · Ask 80¢
- Flood, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 1st District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$652 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Flood, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 1st District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$65 vol
wide spread 8–20%
Bid 8.3¢ · Ask 20¢
- Flood, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 1st District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$227 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 13¢
- Flood, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 1st District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
Ask 9.4¢
- Flood, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 1st District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 7.3¢
- Flood, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 1st District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
65%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$37 vol
wide spread 60–72%
Bid 60¢ · Ask 72¢
- Flood, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 1st District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
51%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$57 vol
wide spread 45–57%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 57¢
- Flood, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 1st District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
33%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$422 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Nebraska's 1st District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.