Selected outcome
Smith, 45+ pts
wide spread 56–68%
63%
Smith, 45+ pts · 63%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Smith, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 3rd District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$73 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 96.3¢
- Smith, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 3rd District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
85%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 83¢ · Ask 86¢
- Smith, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 3rd District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$77 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
- Smith, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 3rd District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
63%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$391 vol
wide spread 56–68%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 68¢
- Smith, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 3rd District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
49%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$80 vol
wide spread 41–52%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 52¢
- Smith, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 3rd District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
32%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
wide spread 23–35%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 35¢
- Smith, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 3rd District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 8.7¢ · Ask 20¢
- Smith, 57+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 3rd District House election be at least 57 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Smith, 60+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Nebraska's 3rd District House election be at least 60 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$142 vol
last
Ask 7.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Nebraska's 3rd District by 45 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.