Selected outcome
Conaway, 36+ pts
wide spread 1–12%
Conaway, 36+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Conaway, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 3rd District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–12%
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 12¢
- Conaway, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 3rd District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.8¢ · Ask 18¢
- Conaway, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 3rd District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 89–>99%
Bid 89¢ · Ask 99.8¢
- Conaway, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 3rd District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$192 vol
wide spread 84–96%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95.5¢
- Conaway, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 3rd District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 74–86%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 86¢
- Conaway, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 3rd District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 62–74%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 74¢
- Conaway, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 3rd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
51%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
wide spread 47–59%
Bid 47¢ · Ask 59¢
- Conaway, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 3rd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 32–44%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 44¢
- Conaway, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 3rd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol
wide spread 16–27%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 27¢
- Conaway, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 3rd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93.2¢
- Conaway, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 3rd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 3rd District by 36 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.