Selected outcome
Gottheimer, 28+ pts
wide spread 9–21%
Gottheimer, 28+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Gottheimer, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 9.8¢
- Gottheimer, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 13¢
- Gottheimer, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$456 vol
wide spread 83–95%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.6¢
- Gottheimer, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 74–86%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 86¢
- Gottheimer, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 62–74%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 74¢
- Gottheimer, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$22 vol
wide spread 49–60%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 60¢
- Gottheimer, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 33¢ · Ask 40¢
- Gottheimer, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$209 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
- Gottheimer, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol
wide spread 9–21%
Bid 9.2¢ · Ask 21¢
- Gottheimer, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.5¢
- Gottheimer, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 5th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
Bid 90.2¢ · Ask 98.7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 5th District by 28 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.