Selected outcome
Pallone, 22+ pts
wide spread 59–71%
60%
Pallone, 22+ pts · 60%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Pallone, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 6th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.2¢ · Ask 99.6¢
- Pallone, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 6th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 90.2¢ · Ask 98.4¢
- Pallone, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 6th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$254 vol
wide spread 82–94%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.6¢
- Pallone, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 6th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
wide spread 72–84%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 84¢
- Pallone, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 6th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
60%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
wide spread 59–71%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 71¢
- Pallone, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 6th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 45–57%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 57¢
- Pallone, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 6th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Pallone, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 6th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Pallone, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 6th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6¢ · Ask 18¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 6th District by 22 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.