Selected outcome
Hamawy, 37+ pts
wide spread 27–39%
Hamawy, 37+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Hamawy, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 12th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.9¢
- Hamawy, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 12th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–>99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99.7¢
- Hamawy, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 12th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93¢
- Hamawy, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 12th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
- Hamawy, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 12th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 58–70%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 70¢
- Hamawy, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 12th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- Hamawy, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 12th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
- Hamawy, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 12th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Hamawy, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Jersey's 12th District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.8¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Jersey's 12th District by 37 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.