Selected outcome
Stansbury, 23+ pts
wide spread 45–57%
Stansbury, 23+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Stansbury, 11+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 1st District House election be at least 11 percentage points?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$181 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 96.9¢
- Stansbury, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 1st District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- Stansbury, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 1st District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 65–77%
Bid 65¢ · Ask 77¢
- Stansbury, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 1st District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
- Stansbury, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 45–57%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 57¢
- Stansbury, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 34–46%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 46¢
- Stansbury, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 1st District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 24–36%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 36¢
- Stansbury, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 1st District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Stansbury, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 1st District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 16¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New Mexico's 1st District by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.