Selected outcome
Thompson, 5+ pts
wide spread 2–12%
12%
Thompson, 5+ pts · 12%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Thompson, 2+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 2nd District House election be at least 2 percentage points?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol
wide spread 11–23%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 23¢
- Thompson, 5+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 2nd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–12%
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 12¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Nevada's 2nd District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.