Selected outcome
Lee, 15+ pts
wide spread 38–50%
Lee, 15+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Lee, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 3rd District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$11 24h · ~$301 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
- Lee, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 3rd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 13¢
- Lee, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 96.9¢
- Lee, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 3rd District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 38–50%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 50¢
- Lee, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 3rd District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 22–34%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 34¢
- Lee, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 3rd District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 9.9¢ · Ask 21¢
- Lee, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 3rd District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$618 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.1¢
- Lee, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 3rd District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$164 vol
wide spread 82–94%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.7¢
- Lee, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Nevada's 3rd District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$179 vol
Bid 72¢ · Ask 82¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Nevada's 3rd District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.