Selected outcome
Jeffries, 45+ pts
wide spread 85–96%
87%
Jeffries, 45+ pts · 87%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Jeffries, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8th District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 99.8¢
- Jeffries, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8th District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 95.9¢
- Jeffries, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8th District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- Jeffries, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8th District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
67%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$170 vol
Bid 62¢ · Ask 72¢
- Jeffries, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
52%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
wide spread 43–54%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 54¢
- Jeffries, 57+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8th District House election be at least 57 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 24–36%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 36¢
- Jeffries, 60+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8th District House election be at least 60 percentage points?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$37 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 22¢
- Jeffries, 63+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8th District House election be at least 63 percentage points?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
- Jeffries, 66+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 8th District House election be at least 66 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 8th District by 45 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.