Selected outcome
Clarke, 41+ pts
95%
Clarke, 41+ pts · 95%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Clarke, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$185 vol
Bid 92.2¢ · Ask 99.8¢
- Clarke, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$219 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Clarke, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9th District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 96.2¢
- Clarke, 47+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9th District House election be at least 47 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$216 vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 86¢
- Clarke, 50+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9th District House election be at least 50 percentage points?
68%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$167 vol
Bid 63¢ · Ask 73¢
- Clarke, 53+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9th District House election be at least 53 percentage points?
46%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- Clarke, 56+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9th District House election be at least 56 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 24–36%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 36¢
- Clarke, 59+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9th District House election be at least 59 percentage points?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 21¢
- Clarke, 62+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 9th District House election be at least 62 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 9th District by 41 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.