Selected outcome
Malliotakis, 12+ pts
wide spread 55–67%
67%
Malliotakis, 12+ pts · 67%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Malliotakis, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 11th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
67%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$281 vol
wide spread 55–67%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 67¢
- Malliotakis, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 11th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$345 vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 54¢
- Malliotakis, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 11th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Malliotakis, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 11th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Malliotakis, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 11th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–16%
Bid 4.2¢ · Ask 16¢
- Malliotakis, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 11th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Malliotakis, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 11th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
last
Ask 7.7¢
- Malliotakis, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 11th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$37 vol
Bid 79¢ · Ask 88¢
- Malliotakis, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 11th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
76%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$34 vol
wide spread 69–80%
Bid 69¢ · Ask 80¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 11th District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.