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New York's 12th District margin of victory

Open

New York's 12th District

Selected outcome

Lasher, 69+ pts

wide spread 17–29%

21%

Lasher, 69+ pts · 21%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Lasher, 54+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House election be at least 54 percentage points?

    93%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$26 vol

    wide spread 85–97%

    Bid 85¢ · Ask 96.5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Lasher, 57+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House election be at least 57 percentage points?

    80%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$65 vol

    wide spread 75–86%

    Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢

    Open full market view →
  • Lasher, 60+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House election be at least 60 percentage points?

    66%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$132 vol

    wide spread 61–73%

    Bid 61¢ · Ask 73¢

    Open full market view →
  • Lasher, 63+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House election be at least 63 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 47–59%

    Bid 47¢ · Ask 59¢

    Open full market view →
  • Lasher, 66+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House election be at least 66 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$66 vol

    wide spread 31–43%

    Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢

    Open full market view →
  • Lasher, 69+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House election be at least 69 percentage points?

    21%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$175 vol

    wide spread 17–29%

    Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢

    Open full market view →
  • Lasher, 72+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House election be at least 72 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$65 vol

    wide spread 3–14%

    Bid 2.5¢ · Ask 14¢

    Open full market view →
  • Lasher, 75+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House election be at least 75 percentage points?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol

    last

    Ask 7.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Lasher, 78+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 12th District House election be at least 78 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Ask 6.2¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$540
Liquidity
—
Open int.
1,898 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 12th District by 69 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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