Selected outcome
Conley, 12+ pts
6%
Conley, 12+ pts · 6%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Conley, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
42%
Open · ~$13 24h · ~$2,806 vol
Bid 39¢ · Ask 44¢
- Conley, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
25%
Open · ~$7 24h · ~$317 vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 30¢
- Conley, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 45¢ · Ask 55¢
- Conley, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$11 vol
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 11¢
- Conley, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 8.6¢
- Conley, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$68 vol
wide spread 7–19%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 19¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 17th District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.