Selected outcome
Lawler, 6+ pts
24%
Lawler, 6+ pts · 24%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Lawler, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,286 vol
wide spread 29–40%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 40¢
- Lawler, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$484 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 29¢
- Lawler, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the New York's 17th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 5–17%
Bid 5.3¢ · Ask 17¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 17th District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.