Selected outcome
Tonko, 35+ pts
wide spread 15–26%
23%
Tonko, 35+ pts · 23%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Tonko, 14+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 20th District House election be at least 14 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,045 vol
Bid 91.7¢
- Tonko, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 20th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 88–99%
Bid 88¢ · Ask 99.3¢
- Tonko, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 20th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 81–92%
Bid 81¢ · Ask 92.3¢
- Tonko, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 20th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- Tonko, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 20th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 57–69%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 69¢
- Tonko, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 20th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 41–53%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 53¢
- Tonko, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 20th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$40 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Tonko, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 20th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$62 vol
wide spread 15–26%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢
- Tonko, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 20th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 4–15%
Bid 3.9¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 20th District by 35 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.