Selected outcome
Morelle, 22+ pts
wide spread 86–97%
Morelle, 22+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Morelle, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$69 vol
Bid 92.4¢ · Ask 99.1¢
- Morelle, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.2¢ · Ask 99.8¢
- Morelle, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 97.3¢
- Morelle, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
84%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$112 vol
Bid 80¢ · Ask 88¢
- Morelle, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 66–78%
Bid 66¢ · Ask 78¢
- Morelle, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 51–63%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 63¢
- Morelle, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 35–47%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 47¢
- Morelle, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
- Morelle, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 25th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$328 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 7.7¢ · Ask 19¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 25th District by 22 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.