Selected outcome
Kennedy, 44+ pts
wide spread <1–11%
Kennedy, 44+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Kennedy, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 26th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$18 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 99.5¢
- Kennedy, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 26th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 85–97%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 96.8¢
- Kennedy, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 26th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 77¢ · Ask 87¢
- Kennedy, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 26th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
70%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$54 vol
wide spread 64–75%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 75¢
- Kennedy, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 26th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
59%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$118 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
- Kennedy, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 26th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$70 vol
wide spread 32–44%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 44¢
- Kennedy, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 26th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 17–29%
Bid 17¢ · Ask 29¢
- Kennedy, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 26th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 6–18%
Bid 6.1¢ · Ask 18¢
- Kennedy, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 26th District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 26th District by 44 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.