Selected outcome
Jordan, 34+ pts
wide spread 51–62%
Jordan, 34+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Jordan, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 4th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$57 vol
wide spread 83–95%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.9¢
- Jordan, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 4th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 75–86%
Bid 75¢ · Ask 86¢
- Jordan, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 4th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
- Jordan, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 4th District House election be at least 34 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 51–62%
Bid 51¢ · Ask 62¢
- Jordan, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 4th District House election be at least 37 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 35–47%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 47¢
- Jordan, 40+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 4th District House election be at least 40 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$185 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- Jordan, 43+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 4th District House election be at least 43 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$56 vol
wide spread 11–22%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 22¢
- Jordan, 46+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 4th District House election be at least 46 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 13¢
- Jordan, 49+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 4th District House election be at least 49 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
Ask 9.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Ohio's 4th District by 34 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.