Selected outcome
Balderson, 33+ pts
wide spread 9–20%
Balderson, 33+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Balderson, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 12th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 80–92%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 91.7¢
- Balderson, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 12th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- Balderson, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 12th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 59–71%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 71¢
- Balderson, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 12th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
55%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
wide spread 49–61%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 61¢
- Balderson, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 12th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
49%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$139 vol
wide spread 38–50%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 50¢
- Balderson, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 12th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
- Balderson, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 12th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$156 vol
wide spread 16–27%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 27¢
- Balderson, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 12th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 8.5¢ · Ask 20¢
- Balderson, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Ohio's 12th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$41 vol
wide spread 1–13%
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 13¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Ohio's 12th District by 33 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.