Selected outcome
Leonard, 1+ pts
wide spread 16–28%
17%
Leonard, 1+ pts · 17%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Leonard, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$360 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Leonard, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Ohio's 15th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$277 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 7.7¢ · Ask 19¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Ohio's 15th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.