Selected outcome
Lucas, 27+ pts
wide spread 80–92%
90%
Lucas, 27+ pts · 90%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Lucas, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.2¢
- Lucas, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
90%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
wide spread 80–92%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 91.9¢
- Lucas, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$55 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
- Lucas, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
68%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$113 vol
wide spread 63–75%
Bid 63¢ · Ask 75¢
- Lucas, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 52–64%
Bid 52¢ · Ask 64¢
- Lucas, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
47%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol
wide spread 41–53%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 53¢
- Lucas, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 29–41%
Bid 29¢ · Ask 41¢
- Lucas, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
wide spread 18–29%
Bid 18¢ · Ask 29¢
- Lucas, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 3rd District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$192 vol
Bid 7.2¢ · Ask 15¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 3rd District by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.