Selected outcome
Cole, 38+ pts
wide spread 12–24%
Cole, 38+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Cole, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 4th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
27%
Open · ~$17 24h · ~$59 vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 32¢
- Cole, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 4th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 84–96%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95.6¢
- Cole, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 4th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 74–86%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 86¢
- Cole, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 4th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 64–76%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 76¢
- Cole, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 4th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 54–66%
Bid 54¢ · Ask 66¢
- Cole, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 4th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Cole, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 4th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 34–46%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 46¢
- Cole, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 4th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Cole, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Oklahoma's 4th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$115 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 2.8¢ · Ask 14¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oklahoma's 4th District by 38 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.