Selected outcome
Hern, 21+ pts
wide spread 71–83%
77%
Hern, 21+ pts · 77%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Hern, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma be at least 23 percentage points?
67%
Open · ~$204 24h · ~$243 vol
wide spread 62–74%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 74¢
- Hern, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma be at least 21 percentage points?
77%
Open · ~$154 24h · ~$186 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
- Hern, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma be at least 25 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$112 24h · ~$164 vol
wide spread 53–65%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 65¢
- Hern, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma be at least 19 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$13 24h · ~$77 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 88¢
- Hern, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma be at least 17 percentage points?
89%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$39 vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 92.1¢
- Hern, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma be at least 27 percentage points?
41%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$268 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
- Hern, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma be at least 29 percentage points?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$128 vol
wide spread 30–42%
Bid 30¢ · Ask 42¢
- Hern, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- Hern, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
wide spread 15–26%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢
- Hern, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma be at least 35 percentage points?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 7.6¢ · Ask 19¢
- Hern, 37+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma be at least 37 percentage points?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 14¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma by 21 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.