Selected outcome
Bonamici, 42+ pts
wide spread 70–82%
Bonamici, 42+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Bonamici, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 1st District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,001 vol
Bid 90.1¢ · Ask 99.1¢
- Bonamici, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 1st District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
91%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 95.6¢
- Bonamici, 39+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 1st District House election be at least 39 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 79–91%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.8¢
- Bonamici, 42+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 1st District House election be at least 42 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- Bonamici, 45+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 1st District House election be at least 45 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 59–71%
Bid 59¢ · Ask 71¢
- Bonamici, 48+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 1st District House election be at least 48 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 45–57%
Bid 45¢ · Ask 57¢
- Bonamici, 51+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 1st District House election be at least 51 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 31–43%
Bid 31¢ · Ask 43¢
- Bonamici, 54+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 1st District House election be at least 54 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 19–31%
Bid 19¢ · Ask 31¢
- Bonamici, 57+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 1st District House election be at least 57 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$145 vol
Bid 8.2¢ · Ask 13¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oregon's 1st District by 42 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.