Selected outcome
Bynum, 3+ pts
92%
Bynum, 3+ pts · 92%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Bynum, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 5th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
72%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,209 vol
Bid 67¢ · Ask 77¢
- Bynum, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 5th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$893 vol
wide spread 53–65%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 65¢
- Bynum, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 5th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
46%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,088 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
- Bynum, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 5th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
33%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
- Bynum, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 5th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Bynum, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 5th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$70 vol
wide spread 7–18%
Bid 6.8¢ · Ask 18¢
- Bynum, 3+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
92%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,117 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 95.9¢
- Bynum, 6+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?
85%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,348 vol
wide spread 84–95%
Bid 84¢ · Ask 95.2¢
- Bynum, 9+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Oregon's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,184 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 86¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Oregon's 5th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.