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Oregon Senate margin of victory

Open

On November 3, 2026

Selected outcome

Merkley, 13+ pts

94%

Merkley, 13+ pts · 94%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Merkley, 13+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 13 percentage points?

    94%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Merkley, 15+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 15 percentage points?

    88%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol

    wide spread 86–97%

    Bid 86¢ · Ask 96.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Merkley, 17+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 17 percentage points?

    83%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$194 vol

    wide spread 80–91%

    Bid 80¢ · Ask 91.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Merkley, 19+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 19 percentage points?

    73%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$480 vol

    wide spread 73–85%

    Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢

    Open full market view →
  • Merkley, 21+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 21 percentage points?

    66%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$289 vol

    wide spread 64–76%

    Bid 64¢ · Ask 76¢

    Open full market view →
  • Merkley, 23+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 23 percentage points?

    57%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$19 vol

    wide spread 55–66%

    Bid 55¢ · Ask 66¢

    Open full market view →
  • Merkley, 25+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 25 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol

    wide spread 44–56%

    Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢

    Open full market view →
  • Merkley, 27+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 27 percentage points?

    39%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol

    wide spread 34–45%

    Bid 34¢ · Ask 45¢

    Open full market view →
  • Merkley, 29+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 29 percentage points?

    31%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol

    wide spread 23–35%

    Bid 23¢ · Ask 35¢

    Open full market view →
  • Merkley, 31+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 31 percentage points?

    22%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$25 vol

    wide spread 14–26%

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢

    Open full market view →
  • Merkley, 33+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 33 percentage points?

    13%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol

    wide spread 7–19%

    Bid 7.4¢ · Ask 19¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$1,101
Liquidity
—
Open int.
1,502 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved

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