Selected outcome
Merkley, 27+ pts
wide spread 34–45%
39%
Merkley, 27+ pts · 39%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Merkley, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 13 percentage points?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98.4¢
- Merkley, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 15 percentage points?
88%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol
wide spread 86–97%
Bid 86¢ · Ask 96.9¢
- Merkley, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 17 percentage points?
83%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$194 vol
wide spread 80–91%
Bid 80¢ · Ask 91.4¢
- Merkley, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 19 percentage points?
73%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$480 vol
wide spread 73–85%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 85¢
- Merkley, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 21 percentage points?
66%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$289 vol
wide spread 64–76%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 76¢
- Merkley, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 23 percentage points?
57%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$19 vol
wide spread 55–66%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 66¢
- Merkley, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 25 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol
wide spread 44–56%
Bid 44¢ · Ask 56¢
- Merkley, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 27 percentage points?
39%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
wide spread 34–45%
Bid 34¢ · Ask 45¢
- Merkley, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 29 percentage points?
31%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
wide spread 23–35%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 35¢
- Merkley, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 31 percentage points?
22%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$25 vol
wide spread 14–26%
Bid 14¢ · Ask 26¢
- Merkley, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in Oregon be at least 33 percentage points?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
wide spread 7–19%
Bid 7.4¢ · Ask 19¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Oregon by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.