Selected outcome
Dean, 12+ pts
wide spread 82–94%
87%
Dean, 12+ pts · 87%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Dean, 12+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$643 vol
wide spread 82–94%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.7¢
- Dean, 15+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 4th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
80%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$144 vol
wide spread 74–86%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 86¢
- Dean, 18+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 4th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 66–78%
Bid 66¢ · Ask 78¢
- Dean, 21+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 4th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?
62%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$397 vol
wide spread 58–70%
Bid 58¢ · Ask 70¢
- Dean, 24+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 4th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?
49%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
- Dean, 27+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 4th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 37–49%
Bid 37¢ · Ask 49¢
- Dean, 30+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 4th District House election be at least 30 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 26–38%
Bid 26¢ · Ask 38¢
- Dean, 33+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 4th District House election be at least 33 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- Dean, 36+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 4th District House election be at least 36 percentage points?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$28 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 4.9¢ · Ask 16¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 4th District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.