Selected outcome
Scanlon, 23+ pts
95%
Scanlon, 23+ pts · 95%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Scanlon, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 5th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91.3¢ · Ask 98.8¢
- Scanlon, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 5th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 97.8¢
- Scanlon, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 5th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 83–93%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 93.1¢
- Scanlon, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 5th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$153 vol
wide spread 72–83%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 83¢
- Scanlon, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 5th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$79 vol
wide spread 56–68%
Bid 56¢ · Ask 68¢
- Scanlon, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 5th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
44%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$110 vol
wide spread 40–52%
Bid 40¢ · Ask 52¢
- Scanlon, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 5th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 24–36%
Bid 24¢ · Ask 36¢
- Scanlon, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 5th District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
wide spread 12–23%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 23¢
- Scanlon, 47+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 5th District House election be at least 47 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$10 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 13¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 5th District by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.