Selected outcome
Meuser, 41+ pts
wide spread 3–15%
Meuser, 41+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Meuser, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 9th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
85%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$170 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 96¢
- Meuser, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 9th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
79%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 76–87%
Bid 76¢ · Ask 87¢
- Meuser, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 9th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 64–76%
Bid 64¢ · Ask 76¢
- Meuser, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 9th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
55%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$193 vol
wide spread 50–62%
Bid 50¢ · Ask 62¢
- Meuser, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 9th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$166 vol
wide spread 36–48%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 48¢
- Meuser, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 9th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$259 vol
wide spread 23–35%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 35¢
- Meuser, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 9th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$58 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Meuser, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 9th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$60 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3.4¢ · Ask 15¢
- Meuser, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 9th District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$29 vol
Ask 9.9¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 9th District by 41 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.