Selected outcome
Stelson, 1+ pts
75%
Stelson, 1+ pts · 75%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Stelson, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 10th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
23%
Open · ~$6 24h · ~$158 vol
wide spread 22–34%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 34¢
- Stelson, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 10th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
42%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$90 vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 45¢
- Stelson, 1+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 10th District House election be at least 1 percentage points?
75%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$271 vol
Bid 71¢ · Ask 78¢
- Stelson, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 10th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Stelson, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 10th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
9%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 5–16%
Bid 5¢ · Ask 16¢
- Stelson, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Pennsylvania's 10th District House election be at least 4 percentage points?
64%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$530 vol
Bid 60¢ · Ask 67¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 10th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.