Selected outcome
Smucker, 13+ pts
wide spread 62–74%
Smucker, 13+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- Smucker, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 11th District House election be at least 10 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 74–86%
Bid 74¢ · Ask 86¢
- Smucker, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 11th District House election be at least 13 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 62–74%
Bid 62¢ · Ask 74¢
- Smucker, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 11th District House election be at least 16 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 48–60%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 60¢
- Smucker, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 11th District House election be at least 19 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 33–45%
Bid 33¢ · Ask 45¢
- Smucker, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 11th District House election be at least 22 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 21–33%
Bid 21¢ · Ask 33¢
- Smucker, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 11th District House election be at least 25 percentage points?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$104 vol
wide spread 12–24%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 24¢
- Smucker, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 11th District House election be at least 28 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 2–14%
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 14¢
- Smucker, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 11th District House election be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9.2¢
- Smucker, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 11th District House election be at least 7 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–95%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 11th District by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.