Selected outcome
Reschenthaler, 41+ pts
wide spread 2–13%
11%
Reschenthaler, 41+ pts · 11%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Reschenthaler, 17+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 14th District House election be at least 17 percentage points?
87%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$35 vol
wide spread 83–95%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94.7¢
- Reschenthaler, 20+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 14th District House election be at least 20 percentage points?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
wide spread 73–84%
Bid 73¢ · Ask 84¢
- Reschenthaler, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 14th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 61–73%
Bid 61¢ · Ask 73¢
- Reschenthaler, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 14th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
55%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$24 vol
wide spread 49–61%
Bid 49¢ · Ask 61¢
- Reschenthaler, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 14th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 38–50%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 50¢
- Reschenthaler, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 14th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 27–39%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 39¢
- Reschenthaler, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 14th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$84 vol
wide spread 16–28%
Bid 16¢ · Ask 28¢
- Reschenthaler, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 14th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 9–20%
Bid 8.9¢ · Ask 20¢
- Reschenthaler, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 14th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7 vol
wide spread 2–13%
Bid 1.8¢ · Ask 13¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 14th District by 41 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.