Selected outcome
Thompson, 23+ pts
wide spread 82–93%
Thompson, 23+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Thompson, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 15th District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93.2¢
- Thompson, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 15th District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 71–83%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 83¢
- Thompson, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 15th District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 57–69%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 69¢
- Thompson, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 15th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 41–53%
Bid 41¢ · Ask 53¢
- Thompson, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 15th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$25 vol
wide spread 25–37%
Bid 25¢ · Ask 37¢
- Thompson, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 15th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
23%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$92 vol
wide spread 13–24%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 24¢
- Thompson, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 15th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$48 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 2.5¢ · Ask 14¢
- Thompson, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 15th District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 9.2¢
- Thompson, 47+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the Pennsylvania's 15th District House election be at least 47 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Pennsylvania's 15th District by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.