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Josh Shapiro margin of victory

Open

Pennsylvania Governor

Selected outcome

Shapiro, 31+ pts

wide spread 3–14%

Shapiro, 31+ pts

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
Resolution source
official election authority responsible for certifying results in (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Shapiro, 19+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 19 percentage points?

    89%

    Open · ~$250 24h · ~$2,938 vol

    Bid 88¢ · Ask 89¢

    Open full market view →
  • Shapiro, 22+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 22 percentage points?

    74%

    Open · ~$201 24h · ~$304 vol

    Bid 71¢ · Ask 76¢

    Open full market view →
  • Shapiro, 25+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 25 percentage points?

    48%

    Open · ~$60 24h · ~$1,217 vol

    Bid 45¢ · Ask 50¢

    Open full market view →
  • Shapiro, 31+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 31 percentage points?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 3–14%

    Bid 2.8¢ · Ask 14¢

    Open full market view →
  • Shapiro, 34+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 34 percentage points?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 7.5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Shapiro, 10+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 10 percentage points?

    97%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$711 vol

    Bid 94.1¢ · Ask 98.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Shapiro, 13+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 13 percentage points?

    96%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,106 vol

    Bid 93.9¢ · Ask 98.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Shapiro, 16+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 16 percentage points?

    96%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$644 vol

    Bid 92.4¢ · Ask 98.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Shapiro, 28+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 28 percentage points?

    25%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$324 vol

    wide spread 20–31%

    Bid 20¢ · Ask 31¢

    Open full market view →
  • Shapiro, 4+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 4 percentage points?

    97%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol

    Bid 94.7¢ · Ask 99.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Shapiro, 7+ pts

    Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 7 percentage points?

    97%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$643 vol

    Bid 94.4¢ · Ask 99.3¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$510
Volume
~$7,893
Liquidity
—
Open int.
7,881 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Nov 3, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pennsylvania by 31 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

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