Selected outcome
Shapiro, 31+ pts
wide spread 3–14%
Shapiro, 31+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Shapiro, 19+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 19 percentage points?
89%
Open · ~$250 24h · ~$2,938 vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 89¢
- Shapiro, 22+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 22 percentage points?
74%
Open · ~$201 24h · ~$304 vol
Bid 71¢ · Ask 76¢
- Shapiro, 25+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 25 percentage points?
48%
Open · ~$60 24h · ~$1,217 vol
Bid 45¢ · Ask 50¢
- Shapiro, 31+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 31 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 3–14%
Bid 2.8¢ · Ask 14¢
- Shapiro, 34+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 34 percentage points?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 7.5¢
- Shapiro, 10+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 10 percentage points?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$711 vol
Bid 94.1¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Shapiro, 13+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 13 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,106 vol
Bid 93.9¢ · Ask 98.9¢
- Shapiro, 16+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 16 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$644 vol
Bid 92.4¢ · Ask 98.7¢
- Shapiro, 28+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 28 percentage points?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$324 vol
wide spread 20–31%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 31¢
- Shapiro, 4+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 4 percentage points?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5 vol
Bid 94.7¢ · Ask 99.9¢
- Shapiro, 7+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the governor election in Pennsylvania be at least 7 percentage points?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$643 vol
Bid 94.4¢ · Ask 99.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Pennsylvania by 31 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.