Selected outcome
Amo, 41+ pts
wide spread 20–32%
Amo, 41+ pts
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Amo, 23+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 23 percentage points?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90.5¢ · Ask 99¢
- Amo, 26+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 26 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$331 vol
wide spread 87–98%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 98.3¢
- Amo, 29+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 29 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$95 vol
wide spread 79–91%
Bid 79¢ · Ask 90.6¢
- Amo, 32+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 32 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$564 vol
wide spread 67–79%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 79¢
- Amo, 35+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 35 percentage points?
56%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$333 vol
wide spread 52–64%
Bid 52¢ · Ask 64¢
- Amo, 38+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 38 percentage points?
46%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$296 vol
wide spread 35–47%
Bid 35¢ · Ask 47¢
- Amo, 41+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 41 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$246 vol
wide spread 20–32%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 32¢
- Amo, 44+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 44 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$143 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 7.7¢ · Ask 19¢
- Amo, 47+ pts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Rhode Island's 1st District House election be at least 47 percentage points?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$112 vol
wide spread <1–11%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Rhode Island's 1st District by 41 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.